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Economic Impact

How political risk scores affect market and economic indicators

Data as of 2026-03-19

Political Risk Score

7.1/ 10

Market Impact Score

7.2/ 10

Economic Impact Score

7.2/ 10

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Sensitivity Matrix

How strongly each risk category affects each indicator (darker = stronger relationship)

Indicator	Election Interference	Legal / Defying Court Orders	National Security	Intimidation & Political Violence	Business Interference	Major Economic Disruptions	Cronyism & Retaliation	Fiscal & Monetary Policy	Suppression of Freedom of Expression	Erosion of Institutions & Norms
S&P 500	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.4	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.6
10-Year Treasury Yield	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.9	0.1	0.5
US Dollar Index (DXY)	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.7	0.2	0.8	0.2	0.7
GDP Growth	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.7	0.2	0.6
Inflation Expectations	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.9	0.2	0.8	0.1	0.4
Consumer Confidence	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.8	0.4	0.7	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.5
Business Investment	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.4	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.7
Foreign Direct Investment	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.8
Corporate Credit Spreads	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.4	0.7	0.2	0.5
VIX (Volatility Index)	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.7	0.3	0.5

Negative correlation (risk ↑ = indicator ↓)

Positive correlation (risk ↑ = indicator ↑)

Sensitivity Matrix

How risk categories affect each indicator

S&P 500

Business Interference: 0.9Major Economic Disruptions: 0.8Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.8Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.7Election Interference: 0.6Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.6Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.5National Security: 0.4Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.4Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.3

10-Year Treasury Yield

Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.9Major Economic Disruptions: 0.5Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.5Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.4Election Interference: 0.3Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.3Business Interference: 0.3National Security: 0.2Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.2Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.1

US Dollar Index (DXY)

Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.8Major Economic Disruptions: 0.7Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.7Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.6Election Interference: 0.4Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.4Business Interference: 0.4National Security: 0.3Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.2Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.2

GDP Growth

Major Economic Disruptions: 0.9Business Interference: 0.8Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.7Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.6Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.6Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.5Election Interference: 0.4Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.4National Security: 0.3Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.2

Inflation Expectations

Major Economic Disruptions: 0.9Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.8Business Interference: 0.4Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.4Election Interference: 0.3Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.3National Security: 0.2Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.2Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.2Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.1

Consumer Confidence

Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.8Major Economic Disruptions: 0.7Election Interference: 0.6Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.5National Security: 0.5Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.5Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.5Business Interference: 0.4Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.4Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.2

Business Investment

Business Interference: 0.9Major Economic Disruptions: 0.8Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.8Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.7Election Interference: 0.6Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.6Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.5National Security: 0.4Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.4Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.2

Foreign Direct Investment

Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.9Major Economic Disruptions: 0.8Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.8Business Interference: 0.8National Security: 0.6Election Interference: 0.5Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.5Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.5Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.4Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.4

Corporate Credit Spreads

Business Interference: 0.7Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.7Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.6Major Economic Disruptions: 0.6Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.5Election Interference: 0.4Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.4Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.4National Security: 0.3Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.2

VIX (Volatility Index)

Major Economic Disruptions: 0.8Election Interference: 0.7Business Interference: 0.7Fiscal & Monetary Policy: 0.7Legal / Defying Court Orders: 0.6Intimidation & Political Violence: 0.6National Security: 0.5Erosion of Institutions & Norms: 0.5Cronyism & Retaliation: 0.3Suppression of Freedom of Expression: 0.3

Negative (risk ↑ = indicator ↓)

Positive (risk ↑ = indicator ↑)

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